Will the S&P 500 both increase and decrease by over 5% in one day in 2024?
9
35
190
2025
5%
chance

i.e. there is a day it increases >5%, and another day it decreases by 5%

Get Ṁ200 play money
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Sure, easy. Market plunges 10% or more and the PPT jumps in to buy pushing back up 5%

bought Ṁ10 of NO

Maybe the title could be rephrased to something like "Will the S&P 500 both increase by over 5% in one day and decrease by over 5% in one day in 2024?"