It's sitting at 4k today, August 1
https://manifold.markets/QuantumObserver/will-the-lk99-room-temp-ambient-pre
Hum. Somehow it got a dozen new traders overnight after stagnating for a few days. Many of those new traders just joined and may never come back. I wonder whose alts or bots they are. Or was there a wave of referrals?
@NicoDelon unfortunately that's not really possible and since it hasn't been mentioned so far I don't think it would make sense
I frankly don't understand why, but that market is still getting a lot of action and new traders every day and does not seem to be slowing down from September. I had bet NO before, sold (at a profit) and bought a lot of YES
At this rate, it will cross 6k in November, so even a slowdown would still put it on track to resolve YES
(It's a 5,890 right now)
@LuisPedroCoelho up 5 people in 24 hours (at 5,895 now). Again, not sure who is still getting into this market at this point in the game, but people are
(the needed rate for this market to resolve YES is 1.46 new traders per day)
@LuisPedroCoelho I assume it's because there is a high rate of new signups to the site at the moment. It had slowed down, but before it could slow down much more, the userbase started growing faster.
@chrisjbillington Naive question—and I can't believe I don't know the answer—but when people cash out, do they still count as a unique trader or do they thereby decrease the count?
@LuisPedroCoelho 5,967 rn (0.80/day needed to hit target and still going at roughly 2/day)