Will the FAA Lift the Sonic Boom Ban by June 30, 2028? | Manifold

Will the FAA Lift the Sonic Boom Ban by June 30, 2028?

12

1kṀ501

2028

61%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

YES if: The FAA has officially modified or repealed regulations (such as 14 CFR § 91.817) that currently prohibit civilian supersonic flight over U.S. land due to sonic boom concerns, and there is no replacement; so that, simply traveling fast is no longer illegal, or, similar changes to this same effect.

Official Sources for Resolution

FAA official announcements and regulatory filings.
Federal Register updates on aviation rule changes.
Congressional records or executive orders explicitly modifying the ban.
Major, credible news organizations reporting on a verifiable regulatory shift.

Clarifications

A partial repeal counts as a YES if it meaningfully allows routine supersonic flight over U.S. land beyond strictly experimental cases.
If there is any uncertainty, the resolution authority (market moderators) will interpret the outcome based on a reasonable understanding of the new rules’ practical impact.

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