Will Israel annex at least 10% of current Gaza territory anytime to end of 2024?
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21
Ṁ1500
Jan 1
7%
chance

As long as they have done it for at least a month it counts even if theyvlater give it back or other changes happen.

#🇮🇱 Israel
#Arab-Israeli Conflict
#🇮🇱🇵🇸 Israel-Hamas Conflict
#Irredentism
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predicts NO

See also https://manifold.markets/BTE/will-israel-permanently-annex-gaza?r=MDQ4Mg

Will Israel annex Gaza by the end of 2024?
14% chance. This question is about all five districts of Gaza. [image][markets]

I assume "annex" means as Israel did with the Golan heights, fully applying all of its rules in the area

@0482 yes, full incorporation

@Ernie In that case there's no way this happens. It took 14 years for Golan Heights to be annexed, and additionally in the case of Gaza there's absolutely no one who wants it to happen.

predicts NO

@toms Exactly my thoughts. So many markets floats around about it and I put ~half of my Mana on betting "No" on each

What does "annex" mean?

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