
Will gwern, Scott Alexander, Aella, Robin Hanson, Eliezer, or Lex Friedman attend the party?
33
Ṁ650Ṁ4.9kresolved Feb 25
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ112 | |
| 2 | Ṁ89 | |
| 3 | Ṁ76 | |
| 4 | Ṁ63 | |
| 5 | Ṁ58 |
People are also trading
Will Scott Alexander (ACX author) come to Austin and attend or host a public event in 2026?
26% chance
Will Scott Alexander attend an ACX meet up in Israel before 2028?
10% chance
Will gwern attend Manifest 2026?
99% chance
Will gwern attend Progress Conference 2026 ?
45% chance
Will Scott Alexander be the subject of a public scandal within his social circle before 2030?
10% chance
Will any of William Eden's kids have a LAN party with any of Bryan Caplan's kids by 2035?
27% chance
Sort by:
@CarsonGale If I were to give you 250 mana would you share whether or not you know something that would give you motivation to buy yes, and what that knowledge is?
@CarsonGale @DesTiny Haha this YES position is such an excellently cheap way to build hype ✨
@CarsonGale I just wanna know, you can dm. I wish I could go, but I can't so I wanna know 😁
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Scott Alexander (ACX author) come to Austin and attend or host a public event in 2026?
26% chance
Will Scott Alexander attend an ACX meet up in Israel before 2028?
10% chance
Will gwern attend Manifest 2026?
99% chance
Will gwern attend Progress Conference 2026 ?
45% chance
Will Scott Alexander be the subject of a public scandal within his social circle before 2030?
10% chance
Will any of William Eden's kids have a LAN party with any of Bryan Caplan's kids by 2035?
27% chance