As of May 2024, the State of Palestine is recognized as a sovereign state by 143 of the 193 member states of the United Nations, while Israel is recognized by 165 UN member states.
For this question, a country means a member state of the United Nations. The question resolves using the Wikipedia articles International recognition of the State of Palestine and International recognition of Israel, on January 1st, 2027.
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Update:
🇵🇸 145 (+1) / 🇮🇱 164 (-1)
Armenia recognized Palestine: https://m.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-807156
Colombia broke diplomatic ties.
🇵🇸 146 / 🇮🇱 165
(There are 193 UN member States, so Palestine needs to convince 19 out of 47 for this market to resolve YES, assuming no one withdraws recognition.)
@adssx Actually, we're at 144 for Palestine per Wikipedia, as the Czech Republic clarified that they recognized the PLO and not the State of Palestine and Malta hasn't actually recognized Palestine.
Will Mexico recognize Palestine if they decide to intervene in the case? (Otherwise they would intervene in defense of a state that they don't recognize...)
Now 145 after Ireland, Norway, and Spain officially recognized Palestine, while the President of Mexico clarified that Mexico had not yet officially done so: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_recognition_of_the_State_of_Palestine
Slovenia will recognize the State of Palestine by 13 June 2024, bringing the total to 146.