USA adds an amendment, emergency pres. succession, nuke, big disaster, attack, financial collapse, or mega-down by 2030
2
1kṀ161
2030
43%
chance

Any of these things happen in the time interval and region in the title, i.e. the end of 2029

  • A constitutional amendment is passed and adopted

  • There is an emergency presidential succession. IE vp or someone else suddenly becomes president outside of the normal schedule

  • A nuclear weapon explodes in the USA of at least 50 kilotons

  • A disaster strikes killing at least 10k people suddenly (within 24h). Quakes, volcanoes etc. This includes both intentional and accidental manmade disasters as well as natural ones.

  • An attack by a terrorist or nation or individual kills at least 3k people in the usa

  • The inflation rate is greater than 100% annualized for at least a month

  • The US stock market is closed for at least 3 days consecutive which would normally be operating

  • Any of x.com, facebook, google, amazon is "down" or nonfunctional for at least 48 hours over the entire nation (>95% of the population) (can't post on x, can't search on goog, can't buy things on amazon)

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