The USA loses an aircraft carrier through mid 2026
8
100Ṁ2552026
7%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Due to any enemy action, it has to sink, be destroyed or inoperable. Hacking type attacks count if the ship is abandoned and can't be piloted.
Update 2025-05-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The term inoperable has been clarified. An aircraft carrier will be considered inoperable (and therefore lost for the purposes of this market) if, following an enemy action, it:
Survives but does not return to theatre due to repairs, rendering it inoperable as a war fighting vessel.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@OP that sounds like it's become inoperable as a war fighting vessel. So it would count as lost due to this description
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