The USA loses an aircraft carrier through mid 2026
10
100Ṁ285Jun 30
7%
chance
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6H
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Due to any enemy action, it has to sink, be destroyed or inoperable. Hacking type attacks count if the ship is abandoned and can't be piloted.
Update 2025-05-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The term inoperable has been clarified. An aircraft carrier will be considered inoperable (and therefore lost for the purposes of this market) if, following an enemy action, it:
Survives but does not return to theatre due to repairs, rendering it inoperable as a war fighting vessel.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@OP that sounds like it's become inoperable as a war fighting vessel. So it would count as lost due to this description
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