Gukesh D's actions as World Champion - independent multi market

880Ṁ3855

2028

63%

Every challenger he faces will not be Indian (ethnicity) until he no longer holds it

49%

In his first challenge, he will either beat an Indian challenger or lose to a non-Indian challenger. Indian meaning "ethnically Indian".

33%

Every challenger he faces will be Indian (ethnicity) until he no longer holds it

28%

He will marry while world champion

24%

He will stay champion until he marries. (marry then lose at next defense, YES), (marry + defend once, NO), (lose before marrying, NO),

16%

Will only be champion for ~1 year

14%

Will defend his title at least three times

He will change citizenship or country he represents while world champion

Will lose the championship title to someone who has been world champion before

He will become a father while world champion

Will defend his title at least ten times

Resolved

YES

Will be Indian

Resolved

YES

Will do an English interview after winning on that same day

Resolved

YES

Will have won by his opponent resigning or quitting or other irregular outing at least one game

Update 2024-18-12 (PST): - "Losing to someone who has been world champion before" refers to losing the world championship title to a person who has previously been world champion (AI summary of creator comment)
All "lose to" or "be defeated by" etc refer to the competition for the championship itself. Similarly, Defend refers to defending the championship. Also note that unless otherwise specified, statements such as "will defend his title 3 times" refer to his current holding of the title. For example, say he defends well in 2025 and 2026, then loses in 2027, then wins it again in 2028, then defends it again for the 3rd time in 2029. That would NOT count as defending 3 times. That claim would have been NO as soon as he didn't successfully defend it 3 times in a row from now.
Similarly "lose the championship title to someone who..." refers to THIS instance of him being champion.

Update 2025-12-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Champion Duration: Gukesh D will hold the world championship title for approximately 1 year, analogous to having a one-year job or anniversary.
- Loss Condition: He will lose the title the next time he's challenged within the annual candidates tournament world championship challenge system.

Get

1,000

to start trading!