The CCP executes a leading executive from a real estate company before end of 2026
4
110Ṁ622027
29%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Such as Evergrande, Country Garden, etc
It should be someone at a company previously mentioned by the Washington Post, Economist, or Guardian UK, and the company should have at least 2 billion in USD equivalent assets. They need to have received an official sentence of execution from the CCP, although it need not have been carried out yet.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Xi Jinping still CCP General Secretary at end of 2025?
96% chance
Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will Evergrande liquidation be completed by EoY 2025?
22% chance
Will Hong Kong-appointed liquidator of Evergrande be recognized by a mainland Chinese court before the end of 2025?
57% chance
Will Xi Jinping voluntarily leave any of his offices before 2026?
5% chance
Will Leopold Aschenbrenner be sanctioned by the PRC by 2029
17% chance
Any current or past member of the CCP's Politburo flees China through 2027
60% chance
Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2026?
9% chance
Before 2028, will Liang Wenfeng (of DeepSeek) be disappeared by the CCP for more than a month?
21% chance
Will Xi Jinping be murdered, deposed, or forced to abdicate like many other Chinese leaders by the end of 2027?
39% chance