This market resolves to YES if Jensen Huang is booked, remanded, or admitted into custody at any local, state, federal, or international jail or prison facility—whether in pretrial detention, held without bail, or serving a sentence following a criminal conviction—at any point before 11:59 PM UTC on December 31, 2026.
This market resolves to NO if he has not been physically detained or incarcerated in a correctional facility by the deadline.
Clarifications and Edge Cases:
Brief police stops, questioning, voluntary interviews, or administrative processing without remand or jail/prison detention do not qualify.
Home confinement, ankle monitoring, travel restrictions, civil contempt sanctions not involving physical confinement in a detention facility, and financial fines do not satisfy the criteria.
Official court records, detention databases (such as the Federal Bureau of Prisons Inmate Locator), or corroborated reporting by major news outlets (Reuters, Associated Press, Bloomberg, or The Wall Street Journal) will serve as sources of truth.
(btw if he goes to jail before this market started it does not count)
Update 2026-11-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The resolution deadline is before 2027 (December 31, 2026), not before 2026 as stated in the title.
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Market was ~24% when I bet, I've got it around 4%. Nobody has charged Huang with anything. The DOJ criminal case is about Megaspeed, and the FBI interest Trump mentioned is about him possibly being the target of a spy, not about something he did. Going from that to a jail booking in seven weeks would take a very fast indictment.