China to convict foreigner under NSL before end of 2026?
8
200Ṁ109
2026
59%
chance

China/HK have new laws that criminalize things including tweets made outside of their jurisdiction. Some westerners believe it is now dangerous to travel there.

This market resolves to "yes" if China (or one of its territories, such as Hong Kong) convicts a foreign national (excluding dual nationals of China/HK and another country) under their respective National Security Laws before the end of 2026.

In the case of new national security laws, these are also covered.

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