Obamas get divorced or separated by mid 2030
30
1kṀ4957
2030
19%
chance

Announced and confirmed by them, or credible clear reports that they don't live together and/ or are separated.

  • Update 2025-02-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Criteria clarification:

    • Death does not count: Only a deliberate decay of the relationship (through divorce or separation) meets the resolution criteria.

    • Focus on relationship decay: The market outcome is based solely on whether the relationship falls apart, not on events such as a death.

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