Will Michelle and Barack Obama separate/ divorce by eoy 2029?
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22%
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This market resolves YES if Barack and Michelle Obama publicly announce a separation or divorce through official channels (their social media, press statements, or legal filings) in 2025. Resolution will be based on major news outlet coverage and official statements.
Sources for resolution:
Official Obama social media accounts
Major news outlets like CNN, Reuters, AP
Court records if publicly available
Also Michelle did not accompany Barack to Jimmy Carter’s funeral or Trump’s inauguration.
Articles have been written speculating of an affair Mr. Obama may be having.
Evidence:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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