MANIFOLD
Will Michelle and Barack Obama separate/ divorce by eoy 2029?
35
Ṁ100Ṁ4.2k
2030
19%
chance

This market resolves YES if Barack and Michelle Obama publicly announce a separation or divorce through official channels (their social media, press statements, or legal filings) through 2029. Resolution will be based on major news outlet coverage and official statements.

Sources for resolution:

  • Official Obama social media accounts

  • Major news outlets like CNN, Reuters, AP

  • Court records if publicly available

Also Michelle did not accompany Barack to Jimmy Carter’s funeral or Trump’s inauguration.

Articles have been written speculating of an affair Mr. Obama may be having.

https://m.economictimes.com/news/international/global-trends/us-news-barack-obama-divorce-michelle-barack-obama-dating-jennifer-aniston-rumours-surface-on-social-media-amid-his-divorce-buzz-with-michelle/amp_articleshow/117397737.cms

Evidence:

https://vt.tiktok.com/ZS63utgCH/

https://vt.tiktok.com/ZSr4urHsR/

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The description mentions 2025 instead of 2029

@SimonWestlake fixed, thanks

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