Nuclear weapon explosion in Taiwan through 2039
7
170Ṁ2552040
11%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Multiple major western news outlets such as the BBC, Wash Post, etc. must report that a nuclear weapon has exploded on or near (<10miles) Taiwan's main island, any time through end of 2039
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Nuclear weapon explosion in Taiwan through 2029
9% chance
Nuclear weapon explosion in Taiwan through 2026
5% chance
Nuclear weapon detonations by 2033
Will Taiwan acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
17% chance
Will there be a Nuclear Explosion by 2030
77% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in the year 2030?
15% chance
Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2030?
22% chance
Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2040?
18% chance
Will a non-test nuclear weapon detonate by 2030?
19% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2029?
23% chance