Chinese nationals are no longer able to work for OpenAI or Anthropic in the US before 2030
32
1kṀ8542030
59%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Perhaps due to it being reclassified as a national industry, or being voluntarily withdrawn by China.
If they are withdrawn or not able to work for a period of one week, it counts. If they later come back, it still counts as long as the prohibition lasted at least 7 days.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will either OpenAI or Anthropic move their main operations away from the US by EOY 2029?
14% chance
Will OpenAI, Google Deepmind or Anthropic de-domicile from the UK/US before 2027?
15% chance
By the end of 2025, will OpenAI and Anthropic merge?
2% chance
Will OpenAI disappear before 2034?
36% chance
Will the US restrict access outside the US to some APIs to generative AI before 2026?
36% chance
Will the US government take control of OpenAI or its major technologies before 2030?
23% chance
China will submit to voluntary caps on compute used in AI training runs by end of 2030
6% chance
Will the US ban AI models produced in China in 2025?
12% chance
Will OpenAI become nothing by 2030?
OpenAI or Microsoft offers or provides AI infra for an LLM in China before 3/2027
36% chance