Chinese nationals are no longer able to work for OpenAI or Anthropic in the US before 2030
AIβ€’China
25
166
αΉ€430
2030
43%
chance

Perhaps due to it being reclassified as a national industry, or being voluntarily withdrawn by China.

If they are withdrawn or not able to work for a period of one week, it counts. If they later come back, it still counts as long as the prohibition lasted at least 7 days.

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What does "being voluntarily withdrawn by China" mean exactly? It is like, Red Army soldiers kick down the door at OpenAI and drag away any employees who are Chinese subjects, kicking and screaming?

Does this include Chinese nationals who are dual US citizens (or other non-Chinese nationality) or US refugees? It is very unlikely that those people would be restricted from working at OpenAI or Anthropic.

Also, the mechanism by which this would be enforced would almost certainly have to be US security clearances or ITAR, so maybe the question should specify that the companies would be subject to those (or similar government rules) instead. If the companies just independently forbid Chinese nationals from working for them, that would violate US employment law.

predicts NO

To be clear if either companies forbids it that triggers yes. Both aren't required. Hope it's not too late this mention this

predicts YES

If one of those companies implements a policy to not hire Chinese nationals, without government action, would that be sufficient to resolve Yes?

predicts NO

@ahalekelly that would qualify.

predicts NO