
OpenAI or Microsoft offers or provides AI infra for an LLM in China before 3/2027
6
130Ṁ1082027
36%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
1. There wil lbe an LLM released in China which many Chinese people can use (possibly with the normal ID verification, etc.). It should be in broad release, either to the public or available in large companies or universities.
2. It will be censored according to the contemporary Chinese CCP Censorship regime.
3. Its supporting AI technology is provided or supported by Microsoft or openAI
If OpenAI / MS split, the claim covers both of them.
If OpenAI tech goes open source/or is stolen and China or some other country runs it, without MS/OpenAI cooperation, that does not make this market resolve Yes.
If a Chinese entity pays OpenAI for tech but runs it themselves, including running the censorship part, that qualifies as YES
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?
9% chance
Will OpenAI have the best LLM in 2024?
84% chance
Will the most interesting AI in 2027 be a LLM?
52% chance
In Jan 2027, will the top 3 leading AI labs be offering fewer than 15 flagship LLMs between them?
61% chance
Which AI companies will release a SoTA LLM on AidanBench in 2025?
OpenAI flips the script and buys or takes over Microsoft by mid 2031
6% chance
Will an AI Lab in China build AGI before 2030?
55% chance
There will be a company which offers LLM or AI-based arbitration by 2030
83% chance
OpenAI worth more than Microsoft by mid 2029
15% chance
There will be one LLM/AI that is at least 10x better than all others in 2027
17% chance