Will Israel launch an attack on Iranian soil before the end of October 2024?
Plus
38
Ṁ4147Nov 1
33%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Must be an attack directly on Iranian territory (embassies won’t count). I will also not count sabatoge or covert operations (for example, the assassination of Haniyeh). Must be an attack using missiles or aircraft.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Israel hit Iran's nuclear sites in 2024?
24% chance
Will Israel directly attack in Iran before the end of 2024?
86% chance
Will there be a war between Iran and Israel by the end of 2024
31% chance
Will Israel launch air strikes within Tehran city limits by the end of 2024?
32% chance
Will Israel attack at least one of Iran's nuclear facilities by year-end 2024?
27% chance
Will Israel strike at Iran’s nuclear facilities in Natanz by the end of 2024.
22% chance
Will Israel launch air strikes within 100 km of Tehran by the end of 2024?
65% chance
Will Israel directly attack the Bandar Abbas Oil Refinery before the end of 2024?
29% chance
Will Israel test a nuclear weapon before the end of 2024?
6% chance
Will any Israeli aircraft be shot down over Iranian airspace by the end of 2024?
13% chance