Resolves yes if attack occurred in Iran is assumed by most press to be an attack by Israel.
Otherwise resolves no. Assassinations do not count.
As recommended by @DanielFox9fff I am updating the statement to be the following:
Will an aerial attack (of any size) on Iran land/sea territory, assumed by most media outlets to be of origin from Israel, occur before the end of 2024?
1,000
1.00@DanielFox9fff I agree with tour criticism. What I meant is attacks like the assasination attempt of ismahil aneyiha do not count. I think a more defined statement would revolve around an aerial attack which dsecribes better what I meant than the ambiguos term attack. Should I update the statement?
@AmirKrispin If people think this rephrasing is too much of a deviation from the original statement I would keep it this way and distinguish the cases by how most press characterizes the operation.
@AmirKrispin I recommend being as precise as possible in the definition of the question.
If your intention is that the question should refer only to an attack launched through the air not originating on Iranian soil, say so in the description.
If your intention is that the question should refer only to an attack involving explosives, say so in the description.
Try to leave as little as possible open to interpretation, especially if you're betting on your own market.