Will an LLM compete in Jeopardy’s 40th season?
16
1kṀ1989
resolved May 26
Resolved
NO

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@traders any reason this wouldn't resolve NO

bought Ṁ500 NO

@ElmerFudd season 40 is done. I don't believe an LLM competed, so I believe this can resolve NO?

@Ziddletwix @creator

@Ziddletwix sorry, missed this notification

Is there anyone logging how an LLM would compete with Jeopardy right now?

Someone with an advanced law degree is going to blow up the this market.

IBM Watson did well in the 30th season

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Will LLMs be banned at the 2026 MIT Mystery Hunt?
29% chance
In 2025, will I be able to play Civ against an LLM?
15% chance
Will the leading LLM at the beginning of 2026 still be subject to the reversal curse?
56% chance
In 2028, will LLMs still be able to get Gary Marcus to make egregious errors?
91% chance
Will an LLM that someone is trying to shut down stop or avoid that in some way before 2026?
12% chance
Will an LLM consistently create 5x5 word squares by 2026?
84% chance
Will Ken Jennings still hold the record for most highest Jeopardy winnings (regular season play) at the end of 2025?
92% chance
At the beginning of 2028, will LLMs still make egregious common-sensical errors?
48% chance
Will the ARC-AGI grand prize be claimed by an LLM?
35% chance
Will an LLM improve its own ability along some important metric well beyond the best trained LLMs before 2026?
50% chance
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