These markets predict the percentage share of fossil fuels in global electricity generation for each year from 2024 to 2100. Each year will resolve separately based on the combined percentage of coal, gas, and other fossil fuels, as reported by Ember Climate’s Electricity Data Explorer, rounded to the nearest whole number.
At at fossil share of 100% the respective market will resolve YES. At 0% it will resolve NO. Results between 1% and 99% for the fossil share will cause a partial resolution.
For reference, in 2023, fossil fuels accounted for 60.71% of global electricity generation—35.39% from coal, 22.56% from gas, and 2.76% from other fossil fuels. This would have resulted in a partial resolution at 61%.
How to find the relevant data:
Go to Ember Climate’s Electricity Data Explorer.
Select “World,” “Generation - yearly,” and “% share.”
Hover your cursor over the chart to display the exact numbers.
The resolution date is currently 30 June 2025 for the expected resolution of the 2024 market. When that market resolves, the resolution date will change to 30 June 2026, etc.
1,000
3.00