What share of global energy will come from renewables (excluding nuclear)?
What share of global energy will come from renewables (excluding nuclear)?
9
660Ṁ1305
2101
13%
2023
16%
2024
22%
2025
42%
2030
63%
2040
81%
2050
83%
2075
88%
2100

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Resolved to the % of energy from hydropower + wind + solar + modern biofuels + other renewables for each year according to our world in data:

https://ourworldindata.org/energy-production-consumption

(I will calculate the % base on the numbers in this graph)

Note that electricity was only about 20% of global energy use in 2022 (https://yearbook.enerdata.net/electricity/share-electricity-final-consumption.html)

Fusion does not count for this market.

If our world in data does not refresh their data I will propose and select another resolution source.

I will not trade in the market.

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1y

Watch out for arb with the nuclear market. They can't add to more than 100%.

bought Ṁ10 2100 NO1y

once again, almost no one appreciates how little of our global energy usage is even electrified to begin with, even though you explicitly called it out!

1y

@pyrylium alas. Made it bold..

1y

13% in 2022

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