Will Insider Trading Result in Any Verified Harm Before 2027?
7
Ṁ150Ṁ177Dec 31
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
15%
At least one death
16%
Injuries, but no deaths
62%
Other harms
The CEO of the Atlantic claimed in a recent article that "Insider Trading Is Going to Get People Killed". Will it?
Resolution Criteria
The "Other" category covers any unspecified harms aside from legal, PR or related troubles suffered by the insider trader, prediction market or other predictors.
Examples: a genuine PR challenge for an organization or person associated with the insider due to the information released, early leakage of contest results (such as at the Emmys, before the announcement on stage), and so on.
Any event reported on in the major news media which offers reasonable justification that insider trading was causally implicated in deaths, injuries or other harms is sufficient. This market does not qualify!
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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