Who will be the next president of the USA after Biden?
Who will be the next president of the USA after Biden?
37
1.8kṀ4669resolved Dec 11
ResolvedN/A
38%
Donald Trump
22%
Ron DeSantis
15%
Pete Buttigieg
12%
Kamala D. Harris
8%
Hillary Clinton
3%
Nikki Haley
Who will be the next person to be president of the USA? This includes acting president including temporary hand-offs of power, but does not include Biden winning reelection (because Biden is the same person as Biden). In case of a coup or successful invasion I will use my judgement.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Closed due to parimutuel being passe. I'll probably repost a new market, but today I am too ill to do so; if someone else would like to do so, they may.
@NiclasKupper I think so too, I sold the M$14 I had on this answer after someone else bought a M$200 of it.
@Duncan https://www.wsj.com/articles/how-kamala-harris-became-first-woman-to-serve-as-acting-u-s-president-11637349786
Depending on how you interpret the wording, either the market should *already resolve* to Harris ("This includes acting president including temporary hand-offs of power") or should just resolve to Harris the next time Biden gets a colonoscopy or something.
What do you mean by "free money at the beginning"? Haven't messed with free response markets much, not super familiar with how they work behind the scenes.
Seems really undervalued given that temporary transfer of power counts (per OP). Biden has one surgery and it should resolve to Kamala.
Probably someone bought a bunch of Buttigieg in the land-grab phase of the market. It's pretty dumb that there's just free money at the beginning.
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