All 20 living Israeli hostages released by Oct 13, 2025, 12:00 (Israel time)?
7
100Ṁ165
Oct 13
41%
chance

Resolves YES if by Monday, Oct 13, 2025 at 12:00 IDT (UTC+3) all twenty Israeli hostages currently believed to be alive (per the ceasefire deal’s tally) are confirmed transferred to Israeli authorities or the ICRC. Resolves NO if fewer than 20 are confirmed released by that deadline. “Confirmed” means official Israeli government/ICRC confirmation or widespread reporting by top outlets.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy