How many Palestinian prisoners will Israel release in exchange for Hamas hostages?
28
1kṀ2962
Jan 2
1%
0
54%
1-1000
19%
1001-2000
11%
2001-3000
7%
3001-4000
4%
4001-5000
0.9%
5001-6000
0.9%
6001-8000
0.9%
8001-10,000
0.8%
>10,000

Hamas has announced that they will release the Israeli hostages in the Gaza strip in exchange for all Palestinian prisoners in Israel. According to Al Jazeera, there are more than 10,000 Palestinian prisoners in Israeli jails.

This question resolves to the total number of Palestinian prisoners who are released by Israel in exchanges for the return of hostages held by Hamas.

If it is determined that all hostages have been rescued, released, or died before closing, this question may resolve early.

If no Palestinian prisoners have been released in such exchanges by closing, resolves to 0.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
sold Ṁ200 YES

When did the counting start for this market? Does it include prisoners released in Nov 23 and earlier this year?

@JoshCohen the question was created 2nd November 2023, and the announcement mentioned in the description is from October 2023, but the author should confirm.

bought Ṁ20 YES

The last deal Israel offered had a 30-50 to 1 exchange ratio. At ~100 prisoners this would be about 4k terrorists released.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy