Resolution Criteria

The market resolves YES if Taylor Swift has a single that reaches #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart (ranked by sales, streaming, and radio airplay) at any point during 2026. Resolution will be verified via the Billboard Hot 100 chart. The single must be released or debut on the chart during 2026 to count.

Background

Taylor Swift released her 12th studio album "The Life of a Showgirl" on October 3, 2025. "The Fate of Ophelia" simultaneously topped the UK singles chart, demonstrating her continued commercial strength. Swift has a strong track record of chart success—she is the only songwriter to write the entire top 10 songs of the chart on three occasions, most recently on October 18, 2025.

Considerations

Swift's recent album release in October 2025 means any 2026 singles would likely come from that project or a new album. The timing and promotional strategy for 2026 releases remain uncertain, as no official announcements have been made about upcoming singles or new music for that year.