Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if any single credited to Kendrick Lamar reaches number one on the Billboard Hot 100 chart at any point during 2026. The single must peak at #1 on the weekly chart; it does not need to debut at #1. Features and collaborations count. Resolution will be verified via Billboard's official Hot 100 chart data.

Background

Kendrick Lamar recently achieved two Billboard Hot 100 number ones with "Squabble Up" and "Luther" from his November 2024 album GNX. He is scheduled to perform at the Super Bowl LIX halftime show in 2025 and is embarking on a co-headlining tour with SZA. While no official 2026 album announcement has been made, recent cryptic comments from Lamar at a Top Dawg Entertainment event have sparked fan speculation about potential new music in 2026.

Considerations

The Billboard Hot 100 is the pre-eminent singles chart in the United States, monitoring popularity based on radio play, single purchases, and online streaming. Kendrick has demonstrated consistent ability to reach the chart's summit—his recent singles from GNX achieved this feat without requiring a full album release, suggesting he could do so again through standalone singles, features, or new project material.