Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Billie Eilish releases an album in 2026 that reaches the #1 position on the Billboard 200 chart at any point during 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The official Billboard 200 chart, as reported on Billboard.com, will be the sole source for resolution.
Background
Billie Eilish is an American singer-songwriter who rose to prominence in the late 2010s. Her debut album, When We All Fall Asleep, Where Do We Go?, released in 2019, debuted at #1 on the Billboard 200 chart. Her second studio album, Happier Than Ever, released in 2021, also debuted at #1 on the Billboard 200.
1,000Market was about 25% when I bet; I have it nearer 4%. She'd first have to put out an album at all, and Polymarket's 'Billie releases an album in 2026' market sits at about 4%, with no release date announced. Anything dropping after mid-December charts in 2027 anyway. https://polymarket.com/event/will-billie-eilish-release-an-album-in-2026