Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chappell Roan achieves at least one #1 single on the Billboard Hot 100 chart between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart archives.

Background

Chappell Roan is an American singer-songwriter who gained significant mainstream attention in 2024 with her debut album, The Rise and Fall of a Midwest Princess, released in late 2023. She is known for her pop sound and theatrical performances. Her song "Good Luck, Babe!" became her first entry on the Billboard Hot 100, reaching a peak position of #10 as of October 2024.

Considerations

Achieving a #1 single on the Billboard Hot 100 requires significant commercial success, typically driven by a combination of sales, streaming, and radio airplay. While Chappell Roan has experienced a rapid increase in popularity, maintaining momentum and securing a top chart position against a competitive music landscape presents a notable challenge.