Resolution criteria: This question resolves YES if US and/or Israel cabinet-level officials confirm that they have successfully seized, removed and/or destroyed Iran’s stockpile of HEU.  

Sources: Cabinet-level confirmation from the US and/or Israel.  

Exclusions:  

• Attempts to recover the HEU that do not result in successful destruction or removal of materials.   

• Damage to facilities that do not result in confirmed destruction of materials. 

• “Likely” or “partially” damaged/destroyed assessments, or similar language that does not express full destruction or removal.  

Background: 

• 20 November 2025: The IAEA’s 35-nation Board of Governors passed a resolution demanding that Iran “without delay” clarify the status of its enriched uranium stockpile and grant access to bombed nuclear sites. The measure, backed by the US, UK, France and Germany, came five months after US-Israeli airstrikes and warned that verification was “long overdue.”. [Reuters] 

• 27 February 2026: The IAEA reported (via member-state reporting) that Iran had stored much of its uranium enriched up to 60% in an underground tunnel complex at Isfahan, and urged Iran to grant access/enable verification. [gov2026-8.pdf] 

• 28 February – 04 March 2026: US officials, including President Trump, publicly claimed that ongoing military strikes against Iran are necessary to prevent nuclear war and stop an imminent nuclear weapons threat. However, IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi said inspectors have not found evidence of a “systematic and structured” Iranian programme to manufacture nuclear weapons. [ABC, Al Jazeera] 

• If Trump decides to try to grab the uranium, retired Adm. James Stavridis, who served as the NATO commander and the former head of Southern Command, said it could require “potentially the largest special forces operation in history.” [WSJ]