Will global total CO2 emissions be below 40 billion tons in 2023 as estimated by Our World in Data?
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41.06 billion in 2021, 39.32 billion in 2020, 41.64 billion in 2019.

https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/global-co2-fossil-plus-land-use?country=~OWID_WRL

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Extending until data released.

@DismalScientist Just clarifying - is this for the 2022 number, which will be published in 2023? Or the figures for 2023?

@MattCWilson The figures for 2023

@DismalScientist ooooh ok! Going to hold off on my position then until we see OWID publish the 2022 numbers. ๐Ÿ˜„ Thank you for clarifying!

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Looks like a pretty consistent upwards trend (barring 2020, which was an outlier for obvious reasons). https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/global-co2-fossil-plus-land-use?time=1990..latest&country=~OWID_WRL