will there be any failed booster landings by spacex in 2023?
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resolved Dec 29
Resolved
NO

spacex are planning to launch 100 falcon 9's in 2023

this will be resolved yes if spacex fails 1 or more booster landings in 2023

only falcon 9 block 5 boosters count

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last launch and landing successful.
Can resolve no (creator inactive)

predicted NO

@ChristopherRandles yep, if anyone wants to confirm that this was the last launch of the year, you can see SpaceX's list of upcoming launches here:

https://www.spacex.com/launches/

Will post to please-resolve

lands (23rd) then falls over due to wind &/or waves (26th). This is a sea transport issue not a landing failure?

predicted NO

This was interesting. Potentially a mishap (yet to be confirmed) during the re-entry burn for this booster during the crew 7 mission, but it still landed successfully!

predicted NO

Related:

Do Starship boosters count or is this only about Falcon boosters?

@Mqrius good question!

because there is a very high chance the starship booster makes a failed landing attempt I think it should only count for Falcon 9 block 5 landings the description should now be updated.
clarification on why the landing is probably going to fail:
this is the first time ever spacex is trying to land a starship booster, with 33 engines a completely new fuel, and then the fact that they are trying to catch rockets out of the air!
and of course the first booster will be attempting water landing and that opens up another can of worms is a water landing successful or not? how can we measure that? there is going to be damage to the booster anyhow.