Conditional upon me trying, will I become POTUS by 2100? | Manifold

Conditional upon me trying, will I become POTUS by 2100?

32

76

Ṁ4k

Ṁ1k

2100

16%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

If I announce my candidacy for President of the United States by 2100, will I successfully hold that office for at least one year (365 days)?

I will begin to meet all constitutional requirements for President of the United States in the 2044 election cycle.

Get Ṁ600 play money

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predicts NO

I'd love to sell out of this market but there's so little liquidity

bought Ṁ40 of NO

Does trying mean "Attempts to get on the ballot" or "get involved in politics and start trying to build a resume towards an eventual run"? What's the line where it counts as trying?

predicts YES

@Weepinbell trying means announce my candidacy

AGI before devansh can run for president 😭

predicts YES

@JohnGrossWhitaker can't resolve the manifold market if you're dead

Related questions

Will a woman be elected as the President of the United States before the end of 2040?

Will an AI get elected as a politician by 2050?

Will any US President be removed from office via impeachment and conviction before 2100?

Conditional on our universe being a simulation, will the simulation stop by 2100?

Will Joe Biden be President in 2028?

Will I be alive by 2100?

Will there be a female president of the US by the year 2040?

What will be true about at least one US president elected before 2050?

Will someone I've met be elected President in either 2028 or 2032?

Will a candidate who is not from a current major political party make it to a U.S. presidential election by 2052?

Related questions

Will a woman be elected as the President of the United States before the end of 2040?

Will I be alive by 2100?

Will an AI get elected as a politician by 2050?

Will there be a female president of the US by the year 2040?

Will any US President be removed from office via impeachment and conviction before 2100?

What will be true about at least one US president elected before 2050?

Conditional on our universe being a simulation, will the simulation stop by 2100?

Will someone I've met be elected President in either 2028 or 2032?

Will Joe Biden be President in 2028?

Will a candidate who is not from a current major political party make it to a U.S. presidential election by 2052?