understandingwar.org will be used to determine how this resolves
Yes: if the Russian campaign offensive shows krynki as an assessed Russian advance or assessed Russian-controlled territory before end of Jan 31st 2024 at midnight
No: no otherwise
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According to Google maps, this is Krynky:
It's not really either of the yellow blobs mentioned below (maybe a tiny bit of the right yellow blob):
Nonetheless there is a section in the middle there that's shaded blue for "Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives", so regardless of whether you're looking at yellow blobs or the region of Krynky as described by Google maps, if the requirement is that Russia must control all of it, it looks like that's not currently the case (and hasn't changed in a while).
@DeathByTech
1. Which specific area are you talking about?
2. If it's not a single point, how is the market going to resolve if the area is partially controlled?
@42irrationalist Krynky is the left yellow blob and a portion of the left side of the right yellow blob. So let’s say that the market will resolve yes if the left blob is red. Partial is not enough, needs to be the whole thing. The right blob we’ll have to see, I will use the text in the offensive updates to assess whether kryky is considered captured or not and that should clear up this ambiguity.