Will the Doomsday Clock reach 5 minutes or more to midnight before 2040?
2
44
Ṁ20Ṁ90
2040
36%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will the Doomsday Clock that the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists's publish regularly be at or above 5 minutes to midnight, for any time before 01.01.2040? If the change happens at midnight it will also count. If the clock shows a higher time because of some error it doesn't count.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 20 minutes or more to midnight before 2050?
24% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 10 minutes or more to midnight before 2040?
37% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 20 seconds to midnight by 2030?
42% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 30 seconds to midnight by 2029?
33% chance
Will the construction of the 10,000-year Clock of Long Now be completed before Dec 31, 2025?
38% chance
Will I be alive at the start of 2050?
76% chance
In the next 5 years, will the Doomsday Clock reach 4 or more minutes to midnight?
10% chance
Will a global* internet outage lasting more than 5 minutes occur by the end of 2025?
5% chance