Will Manifold Markets reach an exit and what will it be?
10
90
resolved Jan 3
0.6%
Initial Public Offering (IPO)
0.9%
Merger & Acquisition (M&A)
0.8%
Liquidation and close
97%
Unknown by Close

A simplified definition of an exit is a point a startup reaches where founders/shareholders can sell their equity for cash.

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If I bet on "liquidation and close" my bet will never pay off...

@Boklam You can still profit as the probability increases and then donate it to charity before resolution occurs. But you are right that it isnt the most robust market lol

@Boklam Liquidation could also include selling the site to Substack, for example.

answered
Liquidation and close

@DavidChee RIP Manifold :(

answered
Merger & Acquisition (M&A)

@DavidChee This is where another company offers to buy Manifold and merge it into their product (or dissolve it if they are simply buying it to eliminate competition).

An example of this could be if Kalshi buys Manifold to act as a free-to-play funnel to their main real money site.

answered
Initial Public Offering (IPO)

@DavidChee This is where we go public and shares of our company are listed to be traded on the stock market.

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