Will Manifold Markets reach an exit and what will it be?

10

540Ṁ1042

resolved Jan 3

100%97%

Unknown by Close

0.8%Other

0.6%

Initial Public Offering (IPO)

0.9%

Merger & Acquisition (M&A)

0.8%

Liquidation and close

A simplified definition of an exit is a point a startup reaches where founders/shareholders can sell their equity for cash.

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If I bet on "liquidation and close" my bet will never pay off...

@Boklam You can still profit as the probability increases and then donate it to charity before resolution occurs. But you are right that it isnt the most robust market lol

@Boklam Liquidation could also include selling the site to Substack, for example.

@DavidChee RIP Manifold :(

@DavidChee This is where another company offers to buy Manifold and merge it into their product (or dissolve it if they are simply buying it to eliminate competition).

An example of this could be if Kalshi buys Manifold to act as a free-to-play funnel to their main real money site.

@DavidChee This is where we go public and shares of our company are listed to be traded on the stock market.

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At what market cap will Manifold Markets exit?

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Will Manifold Markets be insolvent before 2030?

Will Manifold Markets still exist in a decade? (Jan 2, 2034)

Will Manifold ever stop misresolving their own markets?

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If Manifold Markets as it is now goes out of business, it continues on in a useful form

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Related questions

At what market cap will Manifold Markets exit?

Will Manifold Markets still be active in 2030?

Will Manifold Markets still be around by 2030?

Will Manifold Markets still exist in 2040?

Will Manifold Markets be insolvent before 2030?

Will Manifold Markets still exist in a decade? (Jan 2, 2034)

Will Manifold ever stop misresolving their own markets?

Will Manifold Markets still be popular at the end of 2026?

If Manifold Markets as it is now goes out of business, it continues on in a useful form

Will Manifold be acquired by PolyMarket by end of 2030?

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