Will SpaceX do another Starship + Super Heavy flight test before 1 October 2023 | Manifold

Will SpaceX do another Starship + Super Heavy flight test before 1 October 2023

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mxxunsold Ṁ2 of NO

Good moment to clarify: will this resolve on a definite flight attempt (clamps release or liftoff), or on a stream of same going up (maybe on countdown milestones), or on something else?

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 NO at 1.5% 🤖

Chris Billington bought Ṁ1,000 NO from 2.0% to 1.5%

Christopher Randles sold Ṁ4 YES from 2% to 2.0%

MayMeta bought Ṁ70 NO at 2%

Chris Billington sold Ṁ884 NO from 1.7% to 2%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 NO at 1.7% 🤖

MayMeta bought Ṁ2,200 NO from 3% to 1.7%

mxxun sold Ṁ131 NO at 3%

Jes Wolfe sold Ṁ19 NO at 3%

mxxun sold Ṁ96 NO at 3%

Daniel Pugh sold Ṁ12 YES at 3%

mxxun bought Ṁ227 NO from 4% to 3%

Pablo Villalobos sold Ṁ3 YES at 4%

Corvid Deity sold Ṁ138 NO at 4%

Chris Billington bought Ṁ250 NO at 4%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 NO at 4% 🤖

Chris Billington bought Ṁ600 NO from 5% to 4%

Dee Man bought Ṁ10 YES at 5%

Chris Billington bought Ṁ10 NO at 5%

Chris Billington sold Ṁ16 YES from 6% to 5%

Sam Hunter bought Ṁ100 NO at 6%

mxxun sold Ṁ19 YES from 7% to 6%

Evan Daniel sold Ṁ2 YES at 7%

John Kossa sold Ṁ8 YES from 8% to 7%

mxxun sold Ṁ16 YES from 9% to 8%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 NO at 9% 🤖

Domer bought Ṁ555 NO from 13% to 9%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ97/Ṁ100 YES at 13% (cancelled) 🤖

Cory sold Ṁ142 YES from 16% to 7%

VeatBot filled limit order Ṁ20/Ṁ20 NO at 16% 🤖

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 NO at 16% 🤖

Cory bought Ṁ100 YES from 11% to 17%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 NO at 11% 🤖

Cory bought Ṁ50 YES from 9% to 12%

mxxun bought Ṁ9 YES from 8% to 9%

mxxun bought Ṁ20 YES from 7% to 8%

mxxun bought Ṁ10 YES at 7%

Domer bought Ṁ222 NO from 8% to 7%

Shump sold Ṁ73 NO at 8%

Mqrius sold Ṁ2 YES at 8%

Shump sold Ṁ278 NO from 7% to 8%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 NO at 7% 🤖

Domer bought Ṁ220 NO from 8% to 7%

Shump bought Ṁ5 NO at 8%

Shump bought Ṁ85 NO at 8%

Shump sold Ṁ91 NO at 8%

Shump bought Ṁ100 NO at 8%

Shump sold Ṁ184 NO from 7% to 8%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 NO at 7% 🤖

Shump bought Ṁ100 NO at 8%

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40. Will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit in 2023?

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65% chance

Will a Starship orbital flight attempt occur in November 2023?

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How long will the next Starship flight last?

Starship next launch

STARSHIP launch 2 ending in FLIGHT TERMINATION SYSTEM

46% chance

Will the next Starship Orbital Launch attempt occur before the end of October 2023?

27% chance

SpaceX’s Starship will reach orbit [in 2023]

25% chance

Will the next Starship Orbital Launch attempt occur before the end of October 2023?

22% chance

(Number of SpaceX orbital launches in September 2023 -5)*20

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80% chance

Will the next full stack launch of Starship (after 4/20) occur before the end of 2023?

77% chance

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21% chance

Will SpaceX's Starship cross the International Date Line by the end of 2023.

41% chance

Will Starship land by April ‘24?

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Will Starship reach space? (#2)

65% chance