Will US public opinion shift towards Israel during 2025 (according to gallop)?

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2026

45%

chance

ALL

Based on this question:

https://news.gallup.com/poll/657404/less-half-sympathetic-toward-israelis.aspx

In March 2025 gallop reported israel having a net favoutabutilty of 46% - 33% = 13%.

If this has increased in March 2026 numbers I will resolve yes. If it decreases or stays the same I will resolve no.

My understanding is that these numbers are updated in March most years as part of "Gallup's annual World Affairs survey".

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bought Ṁ10 NO

This is hard to predict because of all the factors involved. I'll list some thoughts below.

In pro-israel direction:

$150 million more going to Hasbara (Israel propaganda) which is 20x it's usual. It's been historically effective in usa and that can amplify, specially in europe where there are low hanging fruits.
tiktok starting to crack down on pro-palestine content (“free Palestine” were being flagged as hate speech).
Hasbara influencer tourism. Giving influencers guided propaganda trips of israel through money. This can change their audiences perception of Israel and a lot of influencers don't have strong ideological stances so can be easily bought and manipulated.
If Israel stops bombing (though bibi's hold on power might need them to continue) then there will be less news of Israel being the aggressor which gives them time to persuade people in their direction.

In pro-palestine direction:

Younger generation being exposed to Palestinian lived experience through things like tiktok. They lean more heavily pro-palestine. Next year will just be one more year of them being included in the gallop polls which might not have a big impact, but still an impact.
Pro-palestine speech is now more acceptable socially which can persuade more neutral or unaware people towards a pro-palestine stance once they learn about it passively.
If Israel continues bombing Syria and potentially occupies even more of southern syria pretending to be protecting the druze (who openly don't want to be conquered by Israel), the news coverage of this will continue to push people to anti-israel stances which aligns for now with pro-palestine.
Similar in vein to the previous point, if Israel attacks Iran, which is strongly suggested recently based on purchases of USA weapons adding up to $10 billion, this will solidify the narrative Israel as the cause of escalation and the aggressor.

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