Background

The Druze are a religious and ethnic minority group primarily located in Lebanon, Syria, Israel, and Jordan. Historically, a semi-autonomous Druze entity called the Jabal Druze State existed from 1921 to 1936 under the French Mandate of Syria before being incorporated into modern Syria.

Currently, there is no autonomous Druze state. While Druze communities maintain strong cultural and religious identities, they are politically integrated within the existing national structures of their respective countries. In Israel, Druze citizens serve in the military and participate in civic life. In Lebanon, they are recognized as one of the country's official religious communities with political representation. In Syria, they have historically been an important minority group with varying relationships with the ruling government.

Recent developments have raised the possibility of Druze autonomy in Southern Syria.

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve as YES if, by December 31, 2030, there exists a sovereign or autonomous political entity that:

1. Is internationally recognized as a state or autonomous region by at least 5 UN member nations, AND

2. Is explicitly established as a homeland for the Druze people, AND

3. Has a government that claims to represent Druze interests specifically.

The market will resolve as NO if no such entity exists by December 31, 2030.