
Will Israel still exist in 2100?
10
175Ṁ3172100
81%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves NO if at any point between now and 2100 Israel doesn't exist.
Successor states count.
I will resolve NO if it loses more than 50% of its Jewish population to emigration or expulsion within a 10-year window, e.g. if it's invaded by a neighboring country and left officially intact, but is no longer serving its intended purpose.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Israel Exist as a country in 2060?
91% chance
Will Israel still exist at the beginning of 2032?
96% chance
Will Israel exist two years from now?
96% chance
Will Israel exist at the end of 2026?
99% chance
Will Israel be a democracy in 2030?
88% chance
Will Israel invade Europe in 2050?
4% chance
Will the State of Palestine still exist on Jan 1, 2030?
86% chance
Will Israel withdraw from the West Bank by 2050?
7% chance
[Metaculus] Will Israel recognize Palestine by 2070?
39% chance
Will Israel recognise a Palestinian state by 2030?
7% chance