Will Alec Baldwin be found guilty of involuntary manslaughter by July 1, 2025?
Basic
27
17k
resolved Jul 13
Resolved
NO

Actor Alec Baldwin has been indicted for two counts of involuntary manslaughter in New Mexico over the fatal shooting of cinematographer Halyna Hutchins on the set of the film Rust. He has since asserted his right to a speedy trial, and his first court date is Feb 1, 2024 (https://deadline.com/2024/01/alec-baldwin-rust-hearing-set-1235804282/).

Will he be found guilty of involuntary manslaughter of Halyna Hutchins by July 1, 2025?

A conviction on any count suffices, and the conviction need not be related to the current court proceedings.

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Resolved "no" for the reason @ReeMARKable said. Future traders: LMK if some weird thing happens that means this has to be reversed.

The case has been dismissed with prejudice meaning it cannot be brought again. Resolves No.

sold Ṁ22 YES

Yep, looks that way.

Does this mean found guilty after all appeals? Or just that there's a jury verdict at some point convicting him of this offense, even if later reversed on appeal?

I think by the wording of the market, it resolves YES even if a guilty verdict is later overturned.

bought Ṁ100 YES

The armourer has been found guilty of involuntary manslaughter: https://apnews.com/article/alec-baldwin-trial-rust-shooting-d905a6cb919f7e871ed1cfa668d49eeb

He was an executive producer and I believe had legal liability for gun safety on the set, besides being the one to pull the trigger.

@HollyElmore FWIW as I understand it he disputes that he pulled a trigger.

predicted YES

@DanielFilan From what I've read it seems unlikely that's going to be believed