Will Donald Trump assert an insanity or diminished capacity defense in any of his criminal cases by December 31, 2025?
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31%
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• Yes: The market will resolve to “Yes” if there is verifiable evidence that Donald Trump’s legal team has formally filed an insanity or diminished capacity defense in court by the specified date.
• Acceptable sources include official court documents, statements from his legal team, or reports from reputable news outlets confirming the filing.
• No: The market will resolve to “No” if no such defense is filed by December 31, 2025.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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