When exactly will Anthropic IPO?

Question

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the option that contains the date when Anthropic's shares first begin trading publicly on a major stock exchange (such as NASDAQ or the NYSE).

Since only one option can resolve as YES, each option is defined as a mutually exclusive time interval based in the US Eastern Time Zone:

Before 28 September: Public trading begins on or before September 27, 2026.

Before 12 October: Public trading begins between September 28, 2026, and October 11, 2026, inclusive.

Before 26 October: Public trading begins between October 12, 2026, and October 25, 2026, inclusive.

Before 9 November: Public trading begins between October 26, 2026, and November 8, 2026, inclusive.

Before 23 November: Public trading begins between November 9, 2026, and November 22, 2026, inclusive.

Before 7 December: Public trading begins between November 23, 2026, and December 6, 2026, inclusive.

The primary sources of truth will be the SEC EDGAR system (SEC.gov | Your Request Originates from an Undeclared Automated Tool ) and major financial news outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters, CNBC).

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Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Before 9 November, followed by Before 12 October and Before 26 October are most likely. See the market for live updates (8 traders, as of Sep 3, 2026).

Resolution criteria

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