Will TSMC introduce a new process with a node size smaller than 3nm by the end of 2024?
7
150แน119Dec 31
29%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Evidence will be a formal announcement but not necessarily shipping of a new computing device using a chip that is fabbed on the new (2nm?) process. Most likely candidate will be the iPhone 16 Pro.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a joint venture chip foundry between TSMC and Intel? ๐บ๐ธ๐ฆพ๐ค๐ป
82% chance
Will TSMC announce any new investment in building a US fab by the end of 2024?
31% chance
Will TSMC have a market cap of $2 trillion or more at the end of 2025?
4% chance
Will TSMC have a market cap of $1 trillion or more at the end of 2025?
42% chance
Will China's Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) achieve the 3nm chip generation before 2026?
11% chance
Will most of TSMC's 2022-existing fabs in Taiwan be destroyed by 2030?
27% chance
Will TSMC dominate the semiconductor manufacturing market for the next 10 years?
61% chance
Will a US semiconductor fab begin volume production of 3nm chips in 2024?
11% chance
Will Intel's lithography catch up with TSMC by 2028?
20% chance
Will TSMC have a market cap of $1 trillion or more at the end of 2026?
66% chance