Will there be more than 500,000,000 religious Buddhists worldwide on 1st January 2030?
1
120Ṁ52030
52%
chance
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6H
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ALL
Resolves “yes” if most plausible statistics show there are more than 500mill Buddhists worldwide on 1st January 2030
Resolves “no” if the statistics show there are fewer than 500mill Buddhists on that date.
Resolves “n/a” if plausible statistics disagree with each other over whether there are more than 500mill Buddhists exist on that date or not.
Only people who follow Buddhism as a religion count for this market, not those who treat it as a secular philosophy.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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