Were there less than 7 billion people in the world on January 11, 2026? [resolves to 2027 poll]
6%
chance

Shortly after market close, I will create a Manifold poll, open for a week, on the question "Were there less than 7 billion people in the world on January 11, 2026?" with the answers "Yes", "No", and "Not sure/see results". If there are more Yes answers than No answers, this market resolves YES. If there are more No answers than Yes answers, this market resolves NO. A tie resolves 50/50.

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