Will Nigel Farage take over as leader of ReformUK by the next UK general election?
4
18
180
2025
39%
chance

He’s currently “honorary president” but doesn’t actually lead the party in any formal capacity. This market resolves to “yes” if he takes Richard Tice’s current role as party leader (including if this is temporarily) at any point before when the last polls close on election day, and “no” if he doesn’t.

If “ReformUK” changes its name then this market will still resolve as if the renamed party is still ReformUK.

If the party otherwise ceases to exist before the first polls open on election day, this market resolves to n/a. It also resolves to n/a if Farage dies before the market resolves.

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