Will Nigel Farage take over as leader of ReformUK by the next UK general election?
12
180Ṁ2477resolved Jun 3
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
He’s currently “honorary president” but doesn’t actually lead the party in any formal capacity. This market resolves to “yes” if he takes Richard Tice’s current role as party leader (including if this is temporarily) at any point before when the last polls close on election day, and “no” if he doesn’t.
If “ReformUK” changes its name then this market will still resolve as if the renamed party is still ReformUK.
If the party otherwise ceases to exist before the first polls open on election day, this market resolves to n/a. It also resolves to n/a if Farage dies before the market resolves.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ374 | |
2 | Ṁ362 | |
3 | Ṁ45 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Reform win the next UK election?
27% chance
Will a party Nigel Farage is a member of win the next UK General Election?
27% chance
Will Nigel Farage lead the Reform UK party into the next General Election?
78% chance
Who will be the next permanent leader of Reform UK (after Nigel Farage)?
Will Nigel Farage become leader of the Conservative Party by 2027?
9% chance
If this person is leader of Reform UK going into the next UK general election, will the PM be Reform?
Who will be the leader of Reform UK going into the next UK general election?
Will Nigel Farage complete his full term as a Reform Party MP?
74% chance
Will Reform win less than 50 seats at the next UK General election?
22% chance
Will Nigel Farage be alive for the next UK general election?
95% chance