Will Nat Friedman's puzzle be declared solved by the end of 2023?
14
290Ṁ1088
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO
Ancient Markets
New Year's Resolutions 2024
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ158
2Ṁ31
3Ṁ20
4Ṁ6
5Ṁ5

People are also trading

Will @bens puzzle be solved in the last hours of 2025? (+ clearinghouse)
16% chance
Will Ben's puzzle be solved less than one day after the last hint is given?
48% chance
Can LLM generate a Lonpos puzzle solution before the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will P vs NP be resolved by the end of these years?
Will another Millennium Problem be resolved before the end of 2025?
2% chance
Will it be proven that there are finitely many different 3x3 magic squares of distinct perfect squares by end of 2025?
10% chance
Will a correct solution to a Millennium Prize Problem be published by the end of 2030?
44% chance
Will the Goldbach conjecture be solved by the end of 2030?
23% chance
Will someone solve Paul Rubin's cipher by the end of 2032?
12% chance
Will P vs NP be proven to be solvable by the end of 2030?
15% chance
Sort by:

⚠Inactive Creator

📢Resolved to NO; Proof Of Possibility and no further updates of being solved.

Higher res scans were made available this month https://scrollprize.substack.com/p/new-scans-of-herculaneum-papyri-at

This is about project Vesuvius?

Archaeology and involving computer vision, is this that scroll unwrapping thing?

Related market: https://manifold.markets/DAL59/what-is-nat-friedmans-puzzle-that-i

Will Nat Friedman's puzzle be declared solved by the end of 2023?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

People are also trading

Will @bens puzzle be solved in the last hours of 2025? (+ clearinghouse)
16% chance
Will Ben's puzzle be solved less than one day after the last hint is given?
+3% 1d48% chance
Can LLM generate a Lonpos puzzle solution before the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will P vs NP be resolved by the end of these years?
Will another Millennium Problem be resolved before the end of 2025?
2% chance
Will it be proven that there are finitely many different 3x3 magic squares of distinct perfect squares by end of 2025?
10% chance
Will a correct solution to a Millennium Prize Problem be published by the end of 2030?
44% chance
Will the Goldbach conjecture be solved by the end of 2030?
23% chance
Will someone solve Paul Rubin's cipher by the end of 2032?
12% chance
Will P vs NP be proven to be solvable by the end of 2030?
15% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy