Will a correct solution to a Millennium Prize Problem be published by the end of 2030?
44
Ṁ1kṀ6.9k2032
94%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This will resolve YES as soon as the Clay Mathematics Institute makes a definitive indication that a solution is correct, provided that it was published by the end of the day GMT December 31, 2030. It will resolve NO at any point after the end of 2030 at which all claimed solutions published before EOD 12/31/2030 have been refuted.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
53% chance
All Millennium Prize Problems solved before EOY?
3% chance
Will some Millennium Prize Prize Problem be solved in 2026?
94% chance
Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?
73% chance
All Millennium Prize Problems solved before 2030?
20% chance
Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
If another Millenium Prize Problem is solved in 2026, how many days between the solution and announcement?
19
Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?
95% chance
Will any Millenium Prize Problem (other than the Poincaré conjecture) be solved by 2030?
99% chance
Will some Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028?
99% chance